Three Swedish Parties Fall Below Parliamentary Threshold in Latest Poll

Recent opinion polls from December 2025 reveal a concerning trend for three Swedish political parties struggling to secure parliamentary representation. Centerpartiet, Kristdemokraterna, and Liberalerna are all polling under the critical 4% threshold required for entry into the Riksdag.

Centerpartiet's support has dropped to 3.8%, marking a decline of 0.5 percentage points since October. Kristdemokraterna's share decreased more sharply, falling 1.5 percentage points to 3.9%. Liberalerna continues its long-term struggle, recording a low voter support of 2.1%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points.

Hannes Hervieu, Secretary of Centerpartiet, acknowledged the party’s turbulent year in 2025 as a contributing factor to the diminished support. However, he expressed optimism about the party's future under new leadership, stating that Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist's commitment to a long-term political vision will help regain voter confidence.

The voter barometer, conducted with 2,753 interviews between December 3 and December 29, also indicated a shifting political landscape. The red-green coalition currently leads with 52.5% support, widening its advantage by 0.7 percentage points over the Tidöpartierna coalition, which trails at 45.8%. Additionally, the Green Party (Miljöpartiet) gained 1.2 percentage points to reach 6.4% support.

These figures highlight significant challenges for the three parties at risk of falling out of parliament, potentially reshaping future coalition dynamics and Sweden’s political balance. The trend underscores the volatility and realignment underway in Swedish politics as the country approaches future elections.