Swedish Business Growth in 2025: Navigating Risks, Market Challenges, and Export Opportunities

As 2025 unfolds, Swedish businesses face a complex landscape filled with both challenges and growth opportunities. Rising global risks and shifting markets are prompting companies to adopt innovative risk management strategies and pursue international expansion to sustain growth.

Atradius highlights a 5% projected increase in worldwide bankruptcies by the end of 2025, driven by geopolitical tensions, tariffs, and disrupted supply chains. Traditional credit checks fall short in rapidly changing conditions, especially with synthetic companies submitting fraudulent financial reports. Camilla Arwin, Risk Underwriting Manager at Atradius Sweden, stresses the need for continuous, AI-driven risk assessments that go beyond historical financial data. With proactive credit insurance and risk monitoring, businesses can confidently explore new markets despite these risks.

Meanwhile, the installation firm Bravida, long pressured by a weak market, is showing signs of a turnaround. According to ABG, incremental improvements signal a gradual recovery, with more robust growth expected in 2026 thanks to increased infrastructure investments. This infusion of capital is anticipated to ease price pressures on projects and fuel future expansion.

On the export front, Business Sweden advocates a strategic approach to internationalization. Andreas Scheibenpflug, Vice President at Business Sweden, emphasizes that exporting successfully demands strong strategies and courage, along with local expertise. Business Sweden offers advisory services, often free for small and medium enterprises, to help companies select suitable markets, navigate local legislation, and build partnerships globally. Their extensive presence in over 45 locations supports Swedish firms seeking to broaden their customer base and mitigate risks across borders.

Together, these developments illustrate how Swedish businesses in 2025 must combine advanced risk management, detect emerging growth signals in domestic industries, and strategically pursue export opportunities to thrive in a fluctuating global economy.