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Moderaterna Challenges Polling Institutes Over Repeated Underestimation

Moderaterna calls a meeting with opinion polling institutes to address repeated underestimation of their support in recent elections and its impact on media portrayal.

    Key details

  • • Moderaterna achieved a better-than-expected 19.9% in the latest election, surpassing recent polls.
  • • Martin Borgs claims systematic underestimation of Moderaterna by polling institutes over three elections.
  • • The party is convening all opinion institutes to investigate the discrepancies.
  • • Media reporting is influenced by the flawed polling data, impacting public perception of Moderaterna.

Following a better-than-expected result in the latest election where Moderaterna secured 19.9% of the vote, an increase from 19.1% previously, the party has raised serious concerns about systematic underestimation by opinion polls. Martin Borgs, deputy secretary of Moderaterna, criticized polling institutes for consistently undervaluing the party's support during election campaigns, highlighting a recent SVT/Verian poll that showed only 15.8% backing for Moderaterna, which starkly contrasted with the actual result.

Borgs emphasized the impact this underestimation has on media reporting, which he says often portrays the party as weaker than it truly is. Expressing skepticism about pre-election polling accuracy, he announced plans to convene a meeting with representatives from all opinion institutes to investigate how Moderaterna has been underestimated in three consecutive elections during campaign periods. Borgs also questioned whether the Liberals would have crossed the electoral threshold without the influence of such polls, suggesting broader implications for election perceptions.

This move underscores Moderaterna's intent to address what it views as a systematic bias in polling methodologies and to correct the narrative shaped by flawed polling in the media. The party is seeking transparency on poll accuracy and accountability from those conducting the surveys.

This article was translated and synthesized from Swedish sources, providing English-speaking readers with local perspectives.

Source comparison

Previous election results

Sources report different percentages for the previous election results of Moderaterna

svd.se

"the party achieving a better-than-expected election result of 19.9%, while a recent SVT/Verian opinion poll indicated only 15.8% support for Moderaterna."

svt.se

"achieving 19.9% of the votes, an increase from 19.1% in the previous election."

Why this matters: One source states that Moderaterna received 19.1% in the previous election, while the other does not mention this figure. This discrepancy affects the understanding of the party's performance trend.

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