Handelsbanken Predicts Economic Recovery for Sweden by 2026

Handelsbanken forecasts a recovery of Sweden's economy starting in 2026, driven by household spending.

Key Points

  • • Handelsbanken predicts Sweden's economic recovery will start in 2026.
  • • The recovery will be driven by increased household spending.
  • • Lower inflation and interest rates are expected to boost consumer confidence.
  • • Senior economist emphasizes the significance of improved disposable income.

Handelsbanken has announced a positive outlook for Sweden's economy, forecasting a recovery beginning in 2026. According to their latest report, this growth will be primarily driven by household spending, which has been restrained in recent years due to high inflation and interest rates.

Key economic indicators suggest that household consumption will start to increase as inflation is expected to stabilize and interest rates are projected to decrease. The bank's economists highlight that the impact of government policies and a gradually improving job market will bolster consumer confidence, leading to increased household expenditure.

Furthermore, Handelsbanken notes that while the economy has faced challenges, including a sluggish growth phase in 2025, the foundations for a robust recovery are being laid. They state that the combination of lower living costs and improved fiscal conditions will help in reviving consumer spending, which is crucial for economic revitalization.

Commenting on the anticipated recovery, Handelsbanken's senior economist pointed out, "With the right conditions in place, we expect to see a notable upswing in Sweden's economy by the end of next year, heavily influenced by stronger household consumption."

Overall, Handelsbanken is optimistic about the forthcoming changes in the economic landscape, predicting that improvements in disposable income and consumer sentiment will significantly contribute to recovery efforts in 2026. This forecast is seen as a beacon of hope for Swedish households and businesses alike, looking for signs of economic improvement after a challenging period.